Showing posts with label mask. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mask. Show all posts

Friday, July 17, 2020

It’s Kemp vs. Mayors In Georgia Mask Mandate Battle

It looks increasingly likely that there won’t be any SEC football this year but Georgians are getting something almost as good (not really). Gov. Brian Kemp and the mayors of several cities around the state are engaging in a game of political football over mandates for masks. The irony is that the two sides are not all that far apart.
As the pandemic in Georgia spiraled out of control, Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms issued an order earlier this month that required the use of masks in public buildings. This did not sit well with Gov. Brian Kemp, especially when other Georgia cities followed suit. Soon Augusta, Athens, and Savannah were among the other municipalities in Georgia that were taking advantage of a loophole to go beyond Gov. Kemp’s emergency order and require masks in public places.
That was the situation until this week. On Wednesday, Gov. Kemp issued a new Executive Order extending Georgia’s state of emergency through the end of July. The order also prohibited mayors from enacting their own mask mandates. When Mayor Bottoms refused to withdraw Atlanta’s mandate, Gov. Kemp announced that the state would file suit.
The irony is that Kemp is not an anti-mask Republican. He has engaged in a pro-mask campaign that included a #WearAMask tour of the state and included numerous pictures of the governor wearing his own masks in a variety of locations. These included Waffle House and Chick-fil-a-themed masks as well as the Georgia Bulldog mask seen below that should be the envy and aspiration of every true Georgian.
Kemp’s new Executive Order “strongly encourages” citizens to wear masks. It also takes the new step of allowing local school boards to require masks. Under previous orders, schools had only been allowed to encourage mask use.
Kemp’s position can be seen more clearly in his statements that he supports mask use but considers mandates to be unenforceable. Earlier this month, a Kemp spokeswoman said, “Like all of the local mask mandates, Mayor Bottoms’ order is unenforceable. We continue to encourage Georgians to do the right thing and wear a mask voluntarily.”
The fight in Georgia is not about the effectiveness of masks or conspiracy theories that masks are dangerous (roll eyes) or that they represent tyranny. The fight in Georgia is about municipal-level federalism and the belief that local governments are better able to react to the situation in their county or city than state or federal governments. For decades, the belief that the government closest to the people is the best government to make decisions for the people has been a fundamental conservative proposition.
On that basis, Gov. Kemp is wrong. The Executive Order is a one-size-fits-all solution for a state in which the level of infection varies wildly. The counties that make up metro Atlanta have the highest level of Coronavirus in the state and should be able to enact stricter rules to slow transmission of the virus.
The same goes for other cities. Looking at the state map on Georgia’s COVID-19 status website, it is easy to tell where the cities are by the darker shading that represents more Coronavirus cases. We know that the virus spreads best where the population is more densely concentrated. It follows that these areas could benefit from guidelines that are more strict than rural areas such as Montgomery County in central Georgia where only 68 cases have been reported.
The right and left fall into the same trap: The belief that government holds a giant remote control that it clicks to make people move. The left assumes that people won’t wear masks without a mandate and the right thinks that the shelter orders convinced people to stay home and that the economy would be booming without the lockdowns. Both are wrong.
People are capable of assessing danger and making decisions for themselves. When cases spiked in the spring, many people didn’t need government to tell them to stay home. A study by economists shows that the economic devastation was similar regardless of whether areas had shelter areas or not. People voted with their feet, stocked up on toilet paper, and stayed home.
The same thing is happening now with masks. As new cases spike and the death toll rises, Americans are overwhelmingly in support of masks, social distancing, and other mitigations. Ipsos reported that 62 percent wear a mask at all times when outside the house and another 23 percent wear one sometimes. My personal experience as I visit stores and restaurants confirms this. People in my area are increasingly wearing masks on their own as the danger rises. They aren’t waiting for Gov. Kemp to tell them they must wear a mask.
That doesn’t mean that a mask mandate is worthless. Mandates can help at the margins. People who haven’t seen Gov. Kemp’s pro-mask campaign and who believe the fake news that masks are ineffective might well be persuaded by an order when they are not by a strong suggestion. There are an abundance of conspiracy theories to overcome as well as the initial recommendations from health authorities that people should not wear masks. These comments, largely made before widespread transmission of the virus and intended to preserve masks for health professionals when they were in short supply, have been frequently taken out of contexts and repeated by people who want to confuse the issue.
If Gov. Kemp does not want to issue a statewide mask order as Republican Gov. Kay Ivey of Alabama, the Trumpiest state in the Union, did on Wednesday, he should at least let local officials act on their own. Georgia’s leaders should not be at odds over mask mandates. Rather, they should be working together to the common purpose of getting the pandemic under control.
Originally published in The Resurgent

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Fauci: US Could See 100,000 New COVID Cases Per Day

Afew weeks ago it seemed that the US had Coronavirus whipped. A lot has changed since then.
One of the changes is that Dr. Anthony Fauci of the Coronavirus Task Force has reemerged. Fauci testified before the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee on Tuesday, telling lawmakers that the US was “going in the wrong direction” on the pandemic.
“We are now having 40-plus thousand new cases a day. I would not be surprised if we go up to 100,000 a day if this does not turn around and so I am very concerned,” Fauci said, reported by CNN.
Fauci blamed both the widespread protests and the fact that people were disregarding mitigation guidelines in areas that had reopened for the sharp increase in new cases.
“We’re going to continue to be in a lot of trouble, and there’s going to be a lot of hurt if that does not stop,” Fauci said.
When asked if the pandemic was under control, Fauci answered, “I am not satisfied with what’s going on because we are going in the wrong direction if you look at the curves of the new cases, so we’ve really got to do something about that and we need to do it quickly.”
“Clearly we are not in total control right now,” he added.
Dr. Robert Redfield, director of the CDC, singled out young Americans, saying, “It is critical that we all take the personal responsibility to slow the transmission of Covid-19 and embrace the universal use of face coverings. Specifically, I’m addressing the younger members of our society, the Millennials and the Generation Zs — I ask those that are listening to spread the word.”
“We recommend masks for everyone on the outside, anyone who comes into contact in a crowded area,” Redfield said. “You should avoid crowds where possible and when you’re outside and not have the capability of maintaining distance, you should wear a mask at all times.”
The resurgent outbreak is a trend for much of the nation. CNN reports that 36 states (Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming) have reported increases of at least 10 percent over the past week. Only two states, New Jersey and Rhode Island, have reported an average daily decline of more than 10 percent.
The increase is not merely due to increased testing. Many of the hot spots are reporting an increased positivity rate for testing as well as increased hospitalizations. In Texas, one of the factors in delaying reopening was the fact that the state was nearing maximum capacity for its ICU beds.
The serious nature of the situation is underscored by the reversal of reopening policies in several Republican states. Arizona, Florida, and Texas are among at least 18 states and cities where reopening has been paused. States with Democratic governors such as North Carolina and California are also experiencing surges in new cases that have led to the decision to suspend reopening plans.
On Monday, Georgia’s Brian Kemp became the latest governor to reverse his reopening plans and extend the Peach State’s state of emergency. The two executive orders extend the testing and health procurement rules, which were set to expire on June 30, through August 11 and extend social distancing guidelines through at least July 15.
In a split from President Trump, Vice President Pence appeared in a mask over the weekend and urged Americans to follow suit, saying, “Wearing a mask is just a good idea and we know, from experience, will slow the spread of the Coronavirus.” The president has yet to wear a mask in public or advocate that his supporters do so.
The pandemic’s effect on the economy is becoming an election issue. A new Gallup poll this week found that President Trump’s rating on the economy had fallen by 16 points since January. While the president is not responsible for the onset of the pandemic, he is responsible for the Administration’s reaction to it. President Trump has long been a major proponent of quickly reopening the country.
Even before the recent uptick in cases, the US had the highest acknowledged number of Coronavirus cases and deaths in the world. On a per capita basis, the US ranked ninth in terms of deaths and and 12th in cases per Worldmeters.
At this point, many or most Americans on both sides of the political spectrum seem to have discarded mitigation strategies of social distancing and masks. It makes no difference to the virus whether it is transmitted by leftist protesters, conservatives at church or in businesses, or millennial partiers. The science is the same.
It is no longer clear whether Americans have the will to continue the inconveniences of social distancing and wearing masks. Given the broad spread of the virus, it may be too late to contain the outbreak even if we redouble our efforts. The United States may be about to experience the worst of both worlds with an economic recession paired with an out-of-control plague.
Originally published on The Resurgent

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Brit Hume Rips Biden’s Mask

Former Vice President Joe Biden made his first public appearance since mid-March yesterday with a Memorial Day wreath-laying near his home in Delaware. Biden and his wife, Jill, were formally dressed with matching black face masks for the occasion, prompting Fox News anchor Brit Hume to quip on Twitter, “This might help explain why Trump doesn’t like to wear a mask in public.”
The thing is, Biden didn’t look stupid as Hume implied. When I saw the pictures of him laying the wreath with his mask earlier in the day, I took it in stride, as most Americans probably did. A person wearing a mask might have drawn attention and stares three months ago but no longer.
If Republicans are declaring war on masks, as Hume and others seem to be doing, they may be making a strategic error. A Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape Project poll from last week found that 84 percent of Americans reported having worn a mask. That number included 81 percent of Republicans. Another recent poll, this one from Quinnipiac, found that voters thought that Trump should be wearing a mask in public by a two-to-one margin.
Studies with different findings and changing recommendations from health authorities contribute to the confusion about masks. Some of the confusion is deliberate. Several times yesterday, I saw people sharing a video of Dr. Fauci saying that masks were not necessary and alleging that the federal guidance on masks had changed again. In reality, the video was from a March 8 appearance on “60 Minutes.” A lot has changed since March 8 besides mask recommendations.
At this point, numerous studies have shown that masks reduce the spread of Coronavirus. While it is true that virus particles can go through many masks, that does not make them worthless as a defense against COVID-19. Studies have shown that even the much-maligned homemade cloth masks offer protection from disease transmission. Even cloth masks reduce the velocity of aerosol droplets emitted by coughing, sneezing, or talking and reduce the radius of viral transmission.
Critiques of masks fall into two main categories. First, critics note that masks don’t stop all virus particles. Second, they point out that masks can lead to reduced social distancing and more face-touching.
In aviation, we use the “Swiss-cheese” model for safety precautions. Any single precaution is likely to have flaws and holes, like a slice of Swiss cheese. The solution is to layer multiple safety strategies, several slices of cheese, to minimize the risk of an accident. The idea is to keep the holes from lining up.
In reducing disease transmission, the principle is the same. Masks are one slice of protection but not the only one. Social distancing, handwashing, and disinfecting surfaces make up additional lines of defense against the virus.
This helps to answer the meme question going around the internet of why masks are necessary if social distancing works and vice versa. It’s because neither is foolproof so using both techniques adds a level of safety. Masks are also necessary for reopening because not all stores have enough room for social distancing. Dr. Birx has said as much, stressing that social distancing is “absolutely critical” and that, if maintaining a six-foot distance is not possible, Americans “must wear a mask.”
We’ve made it clear that there’s asymptomatic spread, and that means that people are spreading the virus unknowingly,” Birx said on ABC’s “This Week.” “And this is unusual in the case of respiratory diseases in many cases.”
“You don’t know who’s infected. So we really want to be clear all the time that social distancing is absolutely critical,” she added.
If Americans want to reopen the economy without prompting a second wave of infections, then masks are a no-brainer. As to their effectiveness, just ask the doctors and nurses who wear masks for entire shifts to protect both themselves and their patients.
Americans will probably view Joe Biden’s mask as an indication of responsibility and maturity rather than a sign of weakness. Brit Hume’s denigration of the Democratic candidate following the advice of the CDC says more about Hume than it does Biden.
Originally published on The Resurgent