Showing posts with label Anthony Fauci. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Anthony Fauci. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Fauci: US Could See 100,000 New COVID Cases Per Day

Afew weeks ago it seemed that the US had Coronavirus whipped. A lot has changed since then.
One of the changes is that Dr. Anthony Fauci of the Coronavirus Task Force has reemerged. Fauci testified before the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee on Tuesday, telling lawmakers that the US was “going in the wrong direction” on the pandemic.
“We are now having 40-plus thousand new cases a day. I would not be surprised if we go up to 100,000 a day if this does not turn around and so I am very concerned,” Fauci said, reported by CNN.
Fauci blamed both the widespread protests and the fact that people were disregarding mitigation guidelines in areas that had reopened for the sharp increase in new cases.
“We’re going to continue to be in a lot of trouble, and there’s going to be a lot of hurt if that does not stop,” Fauci said.
When asked if the pandemic was under control, Fauci answered, “I am not satisfied with what’s going on because we are going in the wrong direction if you look at the curves of the new cases, so we’ve really got to do something about that and we need to do it quickly.”
“Clearly we are not in total control right now,” he added.
Dr. Robert Redfield, director of the CDC, singled out young Americans, saying, “It is critical that we all take the personal responsibility to slow the transmission of Covid-19 and embrace the universal use of face coverings. Specifically, I’m addressing the younger members of our society, the Millennials and the Generation Zs — I ask those that are listening to spread the word.”
“We recommend masks for everyone on the outside, anyone who comes into contact in a crowded area,” Redfield said. “You should avoid crowds where possible and when you’re outside and not have the capability of maintaining distance, you should wear a mask at all times.”
The resurgent outbreak is a trend for much of the nation. CNN reports that 36 states (Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming) have reported increases of at least 10 percent over the past week. Only two states, New Jersey and Rhode Island, have reported an average daily decline of more than 10 percent.
The increase is not merely due to increased testing. Many of the hot spots are reporting an increased positivity rate for testing as well as increased hospitalizations. In Texas, one of the factors in delaying reopening was the fact that the state was nearing maximum capacity for its ICU beds.
The serious nature of the situation is underscored by the reversal of reopening policies in several Republican states. Arizona, Florida, and Texas are among at least 18 states and cities where reopening has been paused. States with Democratic governors such as North Carolina and California are also experiencing surges in new cases that have led to the decision to suspend reopening plans.
On Monday, Georgia’s Brian Kemp became the latest governor to reverse his reopening plans and extend the Peach State’s state of emergency. The two executive orders extend the testing and health procurement rules, which were set to expire on June 30, through August 11 and extend social distancing guidelines through at least July 15.
In a split from President Trump, Vice President Pence appeared in a mask over the weekend and urged Americans to follow suit, saying, “Wearing a mask is just a good idea and we know, from experience, will slow the spread of the Coronavirus.” The president has yet to wear a mask in public or advocate that his supporters do so.
The pandemic’s effect on the economy is becoming an election issue. A new Gallup poll this week found that President Trump’s rating on the economy had fallen by 16 points since January. While the president is not responsible for the onset of the pandemic, he is responsible for the Administration’s reaction to it. President Trump has long been a major proponent of quickly reopening the country.
Even before the recent uptick in cases, the US had the highest acknowledged number of Coronavirus cases and deaths in the world. On a per capita basis, the US ranked ninth in terms of deaths and and 12th in cases per Worldmeters.
At this point, many or most Americans on both sides of the political spectrum seem to have discarded mitigation strategies of social distancing and masks. It makes no difference to the virus whether it is transmitted by leftist protesters, conservatives at church or in businesses, or millennial partiers. The science is the same.
It is no longer clear whether Americans have the will to continue the inconveniences of social distancing and wearing masks. Given the broad spread of the virus, it may be too late to contain the outbreak even if we redouble our efforts. The United States may be about to experience the worst of both worlds with an economic recession paired with an out-of-control plague.
Originally published on The Resurgent

Saturday, June 6, 2020

The Public Health Hypocrites

There is a rumor going around on social media that the pandemic is over. That isn’t the case, but you’d never know it from public health officials around the country who seem to have tossed social distancing restrictions out in favor of the right to protest.
“A case in point is a recent article in Slate that details an open letter from infectious disease experts at the University of Washington, who write that “protests against systemic racism, which fosters the disproportionate burden of COVID-19 on Black communities and also perpetuates police violence, must be supported.” The letter has been signed by more than 1,000 medical experts from around the country.
Wait. Isn’t there a pandemic on?
While pictures of the protests and riots show some demonstrators wearing masks, many are not, and few are maintaining social distancing. Crowded conditions with a lot of physical activity and yelling would seem to be ripe for transmission of a very communicable disease that travels through the air on aerosol droplets of saliva.
Yet many doctors, such as Jennifer Nuzzo, an associate professor of environmental health and epidemiology at Johns Hopkins, argue that the risk of spreading the virus is worth it.


Similarly, Dr. Abraar Karan of Boston’s Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School tweeted that he had concerns about the protests but “the status quo wasn’t going to stop COVID-19 either.”



2/ ... will not go away.

Failing to treat every person w/ justice, respect, fairness, & humanity is a part of a *failed* epidemic response.

Epidemics like are not solved in vacuums.
3/ And while I have voiced concerns that protests risk creating more outbreaks, the status quo wasn’t going to stop either

As much as this is a chapter in American racism, so too is it in the response

It’s beyond time for us in public health to step up.

37 people are talking about this

The logic is explained in the open letter which states the doctors’ belief that “white supremacy is a lethal public health issue that predates and contributes to COVID-19.” The letter goes on to claim that “Black people” are endangered from Coronavirus because of the effect of “long-standing systems of oppression and bias which have subjected people of color to discrimination in the healthcare setting, decreased access to
medical care and healthy food, unsafe working conditions, mass incarceration, exposure to pollution and noise,
and the toxic effects of stress.”
The letter notes that “Black people are also more likely to develop COVID-19” and that they “are diagnosed later in the disease course and have a higher rate of hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, and death.” The signers consider this difference “yet another lethal manifestation of white supremacy.”
The signatories go on to say, “Staying at home, social distancing, and public masking are effective at minimizing the spread of COVID-19.”
Why, then, are the public health experts arguing that people should take it to the streets?
“To the extent possible,” the doctors write, “We support the application of these public health best practices during demonstrations that call attention to the pervasive lethal force of white supremacy. However, as public health
advocates, we do not condemn these gatherings as risky for COVID-19 transmission. We support them as vital to the national public health and to the threatened health specifically of Black people in the United States.”
So, these doctors argue that protesting is “vital” in this case. But don’t worry, they don’t support all protests. The letter clarifies, “This should not be confused with a permissive stance on all gatherings, particularly protests against stay-home orders. Those actions not only oppose public health interventions, but are also rooted in white nationalism and run contrary to respect for Black lives.”
So these doctors only support protesting in a pandemic if it is a cause that they feel good about. Unfortunately, as Ben Shapiro is fond of saying, “Facts don’t care about your feelings.”
And COVID-19 is a fact of life. It is a virus, which also does not care about your feelings.
These doctors are doing the public in general – and the many many Black people involved in the protests in particular – a disservice by pretending that the demonstrations will resolve the issue of police brutality and the specter of racism. Protests are more about feeling like you are doing something than actually accomplishing anything. (And I say this as someone who demonstrated with the Tea Party during the Obama era and who has taken part in pro-life demonstrations.)
The letter does suggest that demonstrators maintain a six-foot distance, wear masks, and take other precautions, but these mitigation strategies seem to have been used at few, if any, protests in the US (unlike this protest in Israel back in April). By encouraging people to engage in protests where social distancing is not practiced, the doctors are contributing to the higher rate of COVID-19 among the Black population that they profess to abhor.
In doing so, these doctors put hypocrisy on display and undermine their credibility. Why should people who want to open businesses, schools, or churches listen to the doctors’ recommendations to stay closed or social distance if they are telling people to protest in the street? Businesses can use the same social distancing restrictions that they recommend for protesters and can probably do so more effectively.
Admittedly, there are a few additional factors to consider. There has long been speculation that COVID-19 will be a seasonal bug that could be less dangerous in the summer months. Likewise, many parts of the country are experiencing a flattened curve that could mean that there fewer infected people to be out protesting and spreading the disease. Finally, outside activities in fresh air are probably generally safer than being in a crowded indoor space.
On the other hand, many of those possibilities are just theories at this point. If the curve has been flattened, we may still see a spike after the protests. Densely populated urban areas like those where most protests are occurring are more susceptible to transmission of the virus than rural areas.
It should also be noted that not all public health experts are signing off on demonstrations. One of the most prominent doctors to stand firm on the need for social distancing is none other than Anthony Fauci.
In an interview on Friday with the Washington, DC radio station WTOP, Fauci said, “Every time I hear about or see the congregation of large crowds at a time and geographic area where there is active infection transmission, it is a perfect set-up for the spread of the virus in the sense of creating these blips that might turn into some surges. So I get very concerned.” 
“There certainly is a risk, I would say that with confidence, when you see the congregation of crowds,” Fauci continued, “particularly in a situation where you have a lot of confusion and a little bit of chaos, people running back and forth, taking their masks off, being close in proximity, that does pose a risk.”  
It is too early to tell whether the demonstrations will spark a new wave of COVID-19 infections, but there is a significant risk of a new outbreak. For doctors, that should be the primary focus. As Dr. Fauci warns, even if medical experts are sympathetic to the aims of the protesters, their role as health professionals is to fight disease not advocate for social justice. While racism may be a public health threat in one sense, the Coronavirus is a public health threat in an even more real and urgent sense.
“It is a difficult situation,” Fauci said. “We have the right to peaceably demonstrate, and the demonstrators are exercising that right…it’s important to exercise your constitutional rights to be able to demonstrate, but it’s a delicate balance because the reasons for demonstrating are valid. And yet, the demonstration itself puts one at an additional risk.”
Racism and police brutality aren’t going away. Neither is COVID-19. As a nation, we need to fight all three. That means not jettisoning social distancing for political correctness.

Originally published on The Resurgent