Friday, October 11, 2019

Biden, Warren Rise In New Fox Poll

A new poll from Fox News confirms that the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is now a two-person race. Following Bernie Sanders’ heart attack, both Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren have gained while the Vermont senator has stagnated and Kamala Harris’ slide continues.

In the new poll, Biden and Sanders together command the support of 54 percent of Democratic voters with Biden up three points to 32 percent and Warren up six points to 22 percent. Bernie Sanders was statistically unchanged with a one-point drop to 17 percent. Kamala Harris lost two points, falling to five percent, followed by Pete Buttigieg at four percent and Beto O’Rourke at three. No other candidate polled higher than two percent while “don’t know/none of the above” drew six percent.

Interestingly, Democratic primary voters say that the Ukraine scandal has made them more likely to support Joe Biden by 21 to 10 percent. Sanders’ heart attack made 31 percent less likely to support him.

In the Real Clear Politics average of polls, Biden still holds a slight lead after declining since the onset of the Ukraine whistleblower scandal in mid-September. More recent polling shows an uptick for Biden over the past few days. Elizabeth Warren now trails by an average of 1.5 points after a slow climb in the polls that began back in June.

Both Biden and Warren both seem to be benefitting from the destruction of the Harris campaign and concerns about the health of Sen. Sanders after his Sept. 30 heart attack. Sanders dropped three points in the polling average since his health scare.

Despite the media narrative that Warren is favored in the Democratic primary, Joe Biden remains the frontrunner. However, the race is hotly contested and could be upended by scandals or gaffes on the part of either candidate, such as this week’s revelation that Warren’s claim that she was fired for being pregnant was not true. At this point, it looks as though the race will go down to the wire and will likely hinge on grassroots get-out-the-vote efforts at the state and local levels.

Originally published on The Resurgent

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