Monday, March 25, 2019

The Graveyard Spiral Election

The election of 2016 was sometimes referred to as the “Flight 93 election.” The metaphor of doomed passengers fighting back to save both themselves and other innocent people was not totally without merit, but it won’t apply to the upcoming 2020 elections. Instead, there is another aviation metaphor that much better suits next year’s presidential election: the graveyard spiral.

I hesitate to use this term because, as a technical aviation term, the phrase is somewhat obscure. Some aviation metaphors, such as “crash and burn” or “auger in,” are more well-known and easily understood, but I cannot escape the thought that the graveyard spiral provides an apt description of where we are as a country.

While the phrase “Flight 93” evokes a sense of impending doom, the graveyard spiral is also deadly but much more insidious. Essentially, a graveyard spiral is circular dive caused by the pilot’s loss of equilibrium. In a graveyard spiral, the pilot thinks that he’s flying the airplane straight and level, but, in reality, he is in a turn. When an airplane is in an established turn, the fluid in the pilot’s inner ear which generates the sensation of turning stabilizes and the feeling that the airplane is in a bank is lost. In a frequent scenario, after rolling out of an established turn in one direction, it can feel as though you enter a turn in the opposite direction. The effect is similar to spinning around in a chair and then trying to walk straight.

Often, the pilot’s response is to turn back in the original direction, which feels to the pilot’s inner ear like straight and level flight. Because some of the airplane’s lift is used in the turn, this can be accompanied by altitude loss. At that point, the pilot pulls back on the controls to raise the nose and maintain altitude. This causes the airplane’s turn to become steeper and steeper as it loses altitude. If the pilot doesn’t realize his mistake and recover, the airplane ultimately crashes into the ground.

Right now, it feels as though America is in a graveyard spiral. What we have seen over the past two years is a Republican attempt to recover from the abuses of power, divisive politics, and out of control spending of the Obama era with abuses of power, divisive politics and out of control spending of their own. Yet, ironically, many Republicans now argue that President Trump’s actions, which are very similar to President Obama’s on many levels, are needed to put the country back into straight and level flight. Executive abuses and flagrant disregard for law and the Constitution have become the new normal for both parties.

What is actually happening is called spatial disorientation. Republicans are so used to the executive abuses and bad leadership of the Obama Administration that they don’t realize that the country is dangerously close to spinning out of control (to use another aviation metaphor). Our national leaders literally don’t seem to understand which way is up.

So, what is the proper way to recover from our self-induced crisis, preferably before the country crashes and burns? The only way to stop a graveyard spiral is to stop flying by the seat of your pants and trust the instruments and standard procedures.

In our case, the recovery technique is found in the Aircraft Operator’s Manual for the country, the Constitution. We should be following the established procedure, i.e. the rule of law, to get the country headed in the right direction. America cannot be returned to safe and stable flight by ignoring and subverting the very guidelines that made us a great nation in the first place. Both Barack Obama and Donald Trump are guilty of abusing their position as president because Congress wouldn’t give them what they wanted. Far from being saviors, both men are contributors to our national crisis of stalemate, division, anger, and mistrust.

Congress is also complicit. A fundamental concept of aviation is that of cockpit resource management (CRM). Gone are the days of aviation when an aircraft captain was the onboard equivalent of God who suppressed any attempt by his crew to question his decisions. Nowadays, crewmembers are expected to speak up and tell the captain when he’s acting foolish. Too many airplanes have crashed and too many people have died because copilots sat quietly by and let their captain make deadly mistakes.

Today, Congress has abdicated its responsibility to speak up when the president is wrong. Partisanship has triumphed over the rule of law in both parties. Democrats protected Obama as he ran roughshod over the Constitution and Republicans are doing the same thing for Donald Trump. As Congress fails to take the controls, the graveyard spiral steepens.

Finally, an airplane needs fuel to recover and our national engines are almost to the point of burning fumes. Aside from the national graveyard spiral toward an autocratic presidency, our most pressing national emergency is the fact that our deficit is at a record high. At more than $22 trillion, our national debt is 20 percent larger than our GDP. The United States is rapidly spiraling toward Greek and Italian levels of debt. As the world superpower and guarantor of the world reserve currency, our extreme levels of debt not only threaten our economy but that of the rest of the world as well.

Both parties are filled with deficit hawks but only when they are out of power. However, when in control of the levers of government, all either party seems to be able to think of is borrowing and spending on the priorities of its base. While compromise is rare in American government these days, the parties can usually find a shared interest in spending increases.

As we gear up to pick a new captain next year, remember the graveyard spiral, a situation in which the people at the controls are literally flying into the ground. Don’t subjectively rate candidates by the seat-of-your-pants feeling that they are steady pilots. Instead, rate them objectively by whether they follow the principles and guidelines laid out in the Constitution, our national operating manual, and whether their policies will leave us out of control and out of fuel. Picking a good pilot who follows the guidelines and who can bring the entire crew of the country together to work toward a common purpose is essential if we are to avoid a catastrophic crash.

Originally published on The Resurgent

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